| Rank | Username | No. of Questions Forecasted | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
6 | -2.370755 |
| 2 |
|
1 | -0.901513 |
| 3 |
|
7 | -0.887985 |
| 4 |
|
4 | -0.846487 |
| 5 |
|
9 | -0.806584 |
| 6 |
|
3 | -0.769237 |
| 7 |
|
6 | -0.720089 |
| 8 |
|
4 | -0.600014 |
| 9 |
|
3 | -0.495287 |
| 10 |
|
2 | -0.388678 |
| 11 |
|
3 | -0.363973 |
| 12 |
|
4 | -0.343407 |
| 13 |
|
7 | -0.332763 |
| 14 |
|
8 | -0.310772 |
| 15 |
|
9 | -0.304636 |
| 16 |
|
4 | -0.291193 |
| 17 |
|
9 | -0.277328 |
| 18 |
|
2 | -0.273625 |
| 19 |
|
3 | -0.261166 |
| 20 |
|
1 | -0.223696 |
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Iran: Threats & Influence
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC
(1 year)
Forecasting questions related to Iran's nuclear development, foreign relations, and influence on violent non-state actors.