INFER Public

Crowd Forecast

What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?

Closing Dec 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC · 135 · 720

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 20, 2023 and May 20, 2023)

Closing May 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 84 · 117

0%

Chance

Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?

Closing Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC · 101 · 465

4%

Chance

From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will 50 or more fatalities be attributed to one or more non-state armed groups with Salafi jihadi ideology in India?

Closing Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC · 49 · 300

0%

Chance

From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will ACLED record 800 or more civilian fatalities in El Salvador?

Closing Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC · 55 · 374

0%

Chance

From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will ACLED record 1,000 or more civilian fatalities in India?

Closing Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC · 52 · 374

0%

Chance

What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023?

Closing Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC · 47 · 631