INFER Public

Your Score

Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 12, 2023 and Nov 22, 2023)

Closing Nov 22, 2023 01:45PM UTC · 141 · 382

Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire in the next month?

Closing Nov 22, 2023 01:45PM UTC · 141 · 382

Will a new song with AI-generated vocals be streamed over 10 million times on Spotify before 1 June 2024?

Closing Sep 12, 2023 09:00PM UTC · 117 · 506

Will an AI-generated film or episode be released by Netflix, Hulu, Disney+, Max, Apple TV+, or Amazon Prime before 1 September 2023?

Closing Sep 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC · 100 · 278

How many people will have signed up for World ID on 1 September 2023?

Closing Sep 01, 2023 09:00PM UTC · 153 · 408

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?

Closing Nov 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC · 184 · 675

Will Prayut Chan-o-cha be re-elected as prime minister of Thailand by the Thai parliament after the next election and before 1 Jan 2024?

Closing Aug 22, 2023 09:00AM UTC · 52 · 230

Will the Pheu Thai Party be part of a governing coalition in Thailand after the next election and before 1 Jan 2024?

Closing Sep 05, 2023 08:34AM UTC · 55 · 282

Will the composition of Israel's current governing coalition change before 1 July 2023?

Closing Jul 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC · 50 · 199

Will Thailand hold a general election on or before 14 May 2023?

Closing May 15, 2023 05:45PM UTC · 57 · 102