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Question
Crowd Forecast
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
270
·
1299
11%
Chance
Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
184
·
967
4%
Chance
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
138
·
765
55%
Chance
Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
93
·
640
2%
Chance
Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
82
·
623
1%
Chance
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
89
·
592
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
87
·
570
3%
Chance
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
62
·
548
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
82
·
530
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
99
·
524
0%
Chance
1
2
3
4
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