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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Closing
May 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
15
·
18
8%
Chance
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
138
·
765
55%
Chance
Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
93
·
640
2%
Chance
Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
184
·
968
4%
Chance
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
38
·
167
7%
Chance
Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
48
·
296
4%
Chance
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
40
·
73
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
52
·
83
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
47
·
136
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Closing
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
75
·
496
1
2
3
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