INFER Public

Question

Crowd Forecast

Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 105 · 815

4%

Chance

What percentage of the U.S.’s renewable energy consumption will come from biofuels in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 105 · 796

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Closing May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 171 · 686

7%

Chance

Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 98 · 655

44%

Chance

Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 150 · 579

4%

Chance

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Closing Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 126 · 545

0%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 76 · 531

Will Israel and Sudan sign an agreement normalizing diplomatic relations by 31 December 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 93 · 523

5%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 103 · 521

1%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?

Closing Nov 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 171 · 498

6%

Chance

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Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?

4%

What percentage of the U.S.’s renewable energy consumption will come from biofuels in 2023?

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

7%

Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?

44%

Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?

4%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

0%

When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?

Will Israel and Sudan sign an agreement normalizing diplomatic relations by 31 December 2023?

5%

Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

1%

Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?

6%

Status

Type

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Topics

Tags

4%

7%

44%

4%

0%

5%

1%

6%